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Ath Madrid vs Levante

Sat 10 Apr 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 31 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Ath Madrid win: 60.1%

Draw: 23.1%

Levante win: 16.8%

Predicted: Ath Madrid

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 88.3%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 60.0%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.0

More corners: Ath Madrid (56.1% home / 43.9% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Ath Madrid

Yes

Probability Ath Madrid wins or draws: 79.1%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Ath Madrid Clearest lean of the available outcomes (60% vs next-best 23%). (60.0% model probability) High

Both Teams to Score Yes (88.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (60.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Ath Madrid win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (79.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.